Blog Posts (16)
February 10, 2017
|By Kathy Greenlee, JD|
I recently learned the Irish superstition that you should exit by the same door through which you entered. The Affordable Care Act will most likely not have that option. The door it entered is closed.
I also recently revisited the unusual circumstances that allowed the ACA to become law. In early 2010, the Democrats held a 60-vote majority in the United States Senate. Then, in August, Massachusetts Senator Ted Kennedy died. In the election for his successor, Massachusetts elected Scott Brown, a Republican. Between the November election and Scott Brown’s swearing in, the Senate approved the ACA. When Senator Brown took office, the Democrats lost their super majority. The House had already passed the law, so they quickly moved to pass the Senate bill. Having 60 votes in the United States Senate is a big deal. The Senate rules are such that the chamber requires a supermajority – 60 votes – to cut off debate and take a bill to the floor for vote. Law, Regulations and Money The ACA is anchored by three things: the law, regulations and money. Currently, the Republicans have a majority but not a supermajority. They don’t have 60 votes to pull the law off the books. They do, however, have enough votes to control the money. The ACA will be made ineffective and inoperable because the funds needed to make the law work will be removed. Money supports the subsidies for qualified people who purchase insurance through the exchanges. Federal money is used to match state money for Medicaid expansion and long term care rebalancing incentives (incentives for states to purchase community rather than institutional services for long term care). It takes money to close the Medicare prescription drug plan donut hole. The first and most active battles in Congress will focus on money. And that battle has begun. The current 2017 federal fiscal year began on October 1, 2016. But, Congress has not passed a budget for this current year. Congress intends to use the current budget to gut the provisions of the ACA that are budget related. Then, immediately thereafter, the Trump administration will present Congress with a proposed 2018 budget and Congress will begin to work that budget this summer. The ACA will likely remain on the books, but won’t be operable as a comprehensive law. The non-budgetary sections will remain but will be largely inert. While Congress assures the money dries up, the Trump Administration can begin the process of rolling back the thousands of pages of regulations that support the implementation of the law. Repealing regulations is time and labor intensive. ACA regulation repeal will be a steady slog likely to drag on through most of 2017 and into 2018. Regulations are behemoths. As you watch events unfold, keep in mind the three anchors I mentioned earlier: the money, the regulations and the law. The Republicans in Congress and in the White House will drive the budget and the regulations. They won’t need Democratic support to do so. But, to pull the remnants of the law and to pass a new law, Senate Republicans will need to find Democratic allies to help them get the 60 votes they need to cut off debate and pass legislation. The Democrats had 60 votes when the ACA passed; the Republicans currently do not. The 60-vote door will have to be unlocked in order to make new law. Next up: Let’s talk in more detail about an ACA budget hot topic: Medicaid. Kathy Greenlee joined the Center’s staff as Vice President for Health Policy and Aging in November 2016 after serving the past seven years as Assistant Secretary for Aging in the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.
January 17, 2017
by Craig Klugman, Ph.D.
This week marks the transition of power from President Obama to President-elect Trump. One issue that has been high on Trump’s list of policy changes is a repeal and replace of the Affordable Care Act (a.k.a.…
January 4, 2017
by Craig M. Klugman, Ph.D.
Politicians are notorious for making campaign promises and then not carrying them out. With the beginning of the 115th Congress, the GOP has doubled-down on its promise to repeal the Affordable Care Act (aka “Obamacare”).…
August 24, 2016
by Craig Klugman, Ph.D.
In Illinois, Land of Lincoln insurance and Aetna announced that they are pulling out of the health insurance Marketplace.…
March 16, 2015
In a few months, we will find out whether the Supreme Court has decided that a critical part of the Affordable Care Act is unconstitutional. If that happens, lots of people will be in lots of trouble, financially speaking. Here … Continue reading →
The post How Screwed is North Carolina if Supreme Court Rejects Obamacare? appeared first on PeterUbel.com.
February 24, 2015
The Managing Editor of the New England Journal of Medicine interviewed me about the piece I wrote, with David Comerford and Eric Johnson, on redesigning the health insurance exchanges. For those of you with long commutes, here is that podcast: … Continue reading →
The post Podcast on Healthcare.gov 3.0 appeared first on PeterUbel.com.
February 23, 2015
Here is a nice follow-up story on my recent New England Journal article on improving the design of health insurance exchanges. Comparing health insurance plans – whether signing up through Healthcare.gov or weighing employer-sponsored plans with a spouse – can … Continue reading →
The post More on Healthcare.gov 3.0 appeared first on PeterUbel.com.
December 4, 2014
Paige Rentz, an excellent reporter at the Fayetteville Observer, recently posted a question and answer piece, exploring some of the pressing issues facing the second round of insurance enrollment, on the Obamacare health insurance exchanges. I suggest you look at … Continue reading →
October 7, 2014
When the health insurance exchanges began operating last year, critics complained that people were being forced out of their insurance plans. They correctly pointed out that Obama was mistaken to promise that “if you like your healthcare plan, you will … Continue reading →
July 29, 2014
[The New York Times] The old Blumstein’s department store sits across 125th Street from the legendary Apollo Theater. It’s something of a Harlem landmark, where “don’t buy where you can’t work” protests led to the hiring of African-Americans as the first salesclerks in 1934 and where the Rev. Dr. Martin Luther King Jr. was stabbed […]
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